Gold, Oil and the Calendar
It’s not how they open. It’s how they close. The market shrugged off worries about the Chinese rate hikes. The market sees the rates hikes as a sign of strength in the Chinese economy. This will be the case until more weakness is seen in the Chinese economy and the yield curve becomes flatter. The tipping point will come as the media begins to downplay any future rate increases by the Chinese government. So, for something different, we will look for Chinese rate hikes to go from page one to page sixteen. Market had its slowest full day of the year yesterday as the snowstorm paralyzed the Northeastern United States. Money managers tend to spend to last week of the year on pins and needles as their performance numbers are put in stone for the year. This time of high anxiety can be punctuated by volatility as trading desks remain understaffed with inexperienced traders. This can lead to the old rush for the exits before year-end performance gets trounced. We can thank t...